Bull Markets, Estate Planning and Vanguard Fund Changes - Adviser Investments

Bull Markets, Estate Planning and Vanguard Fund Changes

Vanguard Doubling Its Global Bond Fund Offerings 

Soon there will be not one, but two different ways for investors to globetrot the world of bonds at Vanguard.

Earlier this month, Vanguard announced plans to open an actively managed global bond fund in November. This follows the May reveal that the firm intended to open an index fund covering the global bond market this month—Vanguard Total World Bond ETF, which has since been delayed (more on this below).

The new fund, Vanguard Global Credit Bond, will be available in the firm’s Admiral and Investor share classes, which are slated to charge 0.25% and 0.35% in expenses, respectively. Its portfolio will be invested in both corporate and non-corporate bonds (but not government-guaranteed ones) worldwide.

Managers Samuel Martinez and Daniel Shaykevich will hedge foreign currencies back into the dollar (a means of reducing the risk of exchange-rate fluctuations on the portfolio) and will have the ability to put up to 10% of assets into high-yield or “junk” bonds (those rated below “investment-grade”).

Martinez and Shaykevich are the same duo that was added to Vanguard’s three actively managed investment-grade bond funds earlier this year following former manager Gregory Nassour’s surprise resignation.

Vanguard Global Credit Bond will presumably join Total World Bond ETF in Vanguard’s lineup when it debuts. We say “presumably” because the fund giant has already pushed back the opening of the ETF until at least the end of August, which is far from the first time Vanguard has delayed a bond fund’s arrival.

As we wrote in June, Total World Bond ETF will be a fund-of-funds invested in Vanguard’s Total Bond Market ETF and Total International Bond ETF. It is expected to charge 9 basis points, or 0.09%, in operating expenses, giving it a leg up on Global Credit Bond on that front. That said, the new actively managed fund will be very competitive on costs with similar products from other fund providers, true to Vanguard style.

In a way, Vanguard is setting up a horse race between active and passive management, a theme repeated throughout its stable of funds, including in the foreign bond arena. Shaykevich also manages the $98 million Emerging Markets Bond fund, still relatively unknown and unloved by Vanguard investors despite having more than doubled the return of the firm’s $1.3 billion Emerging Markets Government Bond Index fund. It has outperformed the index fund in every month but two since its inception in early 2016.

It remains to be seen if Shaykevich and Martinez can repeat that feat on the new global fund. We’ll also be interested to discover how many investors choose to circumnavigate the bond universe in each of Vanguard’s new offerings.

Longtime Vanguard Manager Announces Retirement

Another Wellington Management fund manager is hitting the dusty trail as the venerable firm’s slow but steady brain-drain continues.

Earlier in August, veteran bond manager John Keogh announced his plans to retire on June 30, 2019.

Keogh manages the fixed-income portions of Vanguard’s vaunted Wellesley Income and Wellington funds and their newer, globe-spanning Global Wellesley Income and Global Wellington siblings. The four funds have a combined $159.9 billion in total assets.

He will continue to co-manage the portfolios until his retirement date. Michael Stack and Loren Moran—co-managers on these funds since January 2017—will stay on to oversee the fixed-income portions of each fund. Managers on the equity side of the funds will not change.

The nearly year-long lead time gives Vanguard plenty of advance notice. And, no doubt, they knew it before we did. But the question remains just how quickly Wellington Management (and, by extension, Vanguard) is losing its portfolio managers.

At 61, Keogh is one of the oldest Wellington managers running a Vanguard fund—and 61 is hardly long in the tooth. Lucius Hill (former manager of Long-Term Investment-Grade) and Karl Bandtel (Energy) both retired from Wellington (and fund management) in June 2016, and Jim Mordy (a Windsor fund manager) announced in February that he would retire at the end of 2018.

That said, Keogh’s team remains in place, and Wellington’s bench is very deep. His departure is nothing for shareholders to be especially concerned about, and we doubt that investors will notice a significant difference in the funds’ portfolios or performance following Keogh’s farewell.

The bigger issue in our mind centers on other Wellington portfolio managers of Keogh’s generation who may want to hang it up in the not-so-distant future. In addition to Michael Stack, who’s 59 years old, Vanguard also relies on the services of Ed Bousa, 59 (Wellington), Michael Reckmeyer, 59 (Wellesley Income, Equity Income), Paul Marrkand, 59, (Morgan Growth) and Ken Abrams, 58 (Explorer), any of whom could be next in line to start eyeing the door.

We’ll be watching for future retirement announcements and will be sure to keep you informed. A potential wave of retirements certainly has to give Vanguard pause as Father Time starts to catch up to some of the most experienced managers running some of its biggest funds. We would not be at all surprised if succession planning has been made an even higher priority on these funds or others with aging managers.

Manager retirements are just one of the reasons why the research and investment teams at Adviser Investments spend so much time talking to fund managers and reviewing portfolios. We seek not only the best investments for our clients, but also high-confidence backups for every fund we buy. That way, we are prepared if a fund unexpectedly closes, its management stumbles or a portfolio manager leaves. It’s an effort that never stops—but it’s just part of the service we offer every one of our clients.

New Podcasts: Measuring Bull Markets and Readying for Retirement 

We’re excited to announce that the most recent episodes in our series of The Adviser You Can Talk To podcasts have gone live. You can listen to them on our dedicated website as well as on other popular podcast sites (Apple Podcasts and Google Play among them).

  • Bull Market Record, Bull. Chairman Dan Wiener and Director of Research Jeff DeMaso go over the statistics behind this bull market and the last, but they also discuss why diversification is not dead even after a long run of outperformance by U.S. stocks over foreign peers.
  • Are You Ready for Retirement? Hosted by Vice President Liz Kesselman and featuring two members of our financial planning team, Andrew Busa and Victor Colella, this podcast covers four simple questions our planners believe all investors need to focus on as they prepare for a successful retirement.

We encourage you to tune in to both of these informative conversations today!

Aretha Franklin and the Importance of Estate Planning

The tragic passing of soul music legend Aretha Franklin was made even more so for her family when it was discovered that she died without a will. The lack of a will makes a difficult time even harder on family members following the loss of a loved one, and for a wealthy individual with a complicated estate it can mean months or years of legal red tape for their heirs.

If you have any questions about what you should do to prepare your estate (or would like information on how to settle an estate), please download our estate planning checklist.

For more on our wealth management or financial planning services, please give us a call at (800) 492-6868 or send us an email at info@adviserinvestments.com and one of our team can set up a time to talk.

About Adviser Investments
Adviser Investments operates as an independent, professional wealth management firm with expertise in Fidelity and Vanguard funds, actively managed mutual funds, ETFs, fixed-income investing, tactical strategies and financial planning. Our investment professionals focus on helping individual investors, trusts, foundations and institutions meet their investment goals. Our minimum account size is $350,000. For the fifth consecutive year, Adviser Investments was named to Barron’s list of the top 100 independent financial advisers nationwide and its list of the top advisory firms in Massachusetts in 2017. We have also been recognized on the Financial Times 300 Top Registered Investment Advisers list in 2014, 2015, 2016 and 2018.

For more information, please visit www.adviserinvestments.com or call 800-492-6868.

Please note: This update was prepared on Friday, August 10, 2018, prior to the market’s close.

Disclaimer: This material is distributed for informational purposes only. The investment ideas and expressions of opinion may contain certain forward-looking statements and should not be viewed as recommendations, personal investment advice or considered an offer to buy or sell specific securities. Data and statistics contained in this report are obtained from what we believe to be reliable sources; however, their accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.

Our statements and opinions are subject to change without notice and should be considered only as part of a diversified portfolio. You may request a free copy of the firm’s Form ADV Part 2, which describes, among other items, risk factors, strategies, affiliations, services offered and fees charged.

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Editors at the Financial Times bestowed “elite” status on 300 firms in the U.S., as determined by assets under management, asset growth, longevity, compliance record, credentials and online accessibility.

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