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Powell Casts Pall on Wall Street

Please note: This update was prepared on Friday, April 22, 2022, prior to the market’s close. The zeitgeist is shifting. An abrupt end to federal mask mandates—provoking cheers (from some)—was just one sign. Airline stocks rallied after reporting robust expectations for future earnings. Not so for the stay-at-home darlings. Netflix and Shopify …

Powell Casts Pall on Wall Street

The zeitgeist is shifting. An abrupt end to federal mask mandates—provoking cheers (from some)—was just one sign. Airline stocks rallied after reporting robust expectations for future earnings. Not so for the stay-at-home darlings. Netflix and Shopify saw their stocks hit hard as their businesses floundered; the same was true for Peloton and …

Has U.S. Inflation Peaked?

Please note: This update was prepared on Thursday, April 14, 2022, prior to the market’s close. First-quarter earnings reports, along with improved consumer sentiment, were an early Easter egg for investors this week, arriving in time to temper the latest inflation report. Overall, the earnings news was solid enough to break a …

Has U.S. Inflation Peaked?

First-quarter earnings reports, along with improved consumer sentiment, were an early Easter egg for investors this week, arriving in time to temper the latest inflation report. Overall, the earnings news was solid enough to break a three-day losing streak for the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ on Wednesday, with travel stocks rallying …

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‘Snake Eyes’—Inflation and Inversion—Rattle Markets

Please note: This update was prepared on Friday, April 8, 2022, prior to the market’s close. Wall Street was a-twitter this week. But eccentric billionaire Elon Musk’s aggressive play for a stake in social media giant Twitter (a move that earned Musk a seat on their board) and the stock’s 27% one-day …

‘Snake Eyes’—Inflation and Inversion—Rattle Markets

Wall Street was a-twitter this week. But eccentric billionaire Elon Musk’s aggressive play for a stake in social media giant Twitter (a move that earned Musk a seat on their board) and the stock’s 27% one-day gain wasn’t the main topic of discussion. Instead, two big I’s drove the conversation: Inflation and …

Chart of the Week: Does a Yield-Curve Inversion Mean Recession Is Coming?

The handwringing over a “yield-curve inversion” presaging recession has begun. Be prepared to hear a whole lot more about inversions in the weeks, months and quarters ahead. First, a definition. The “yield curve” refers to a line on a chart mapping the yields of Treasury bonds of various maturities. Most of …

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