Are bonds still worth holding in your portfolio given how low rates are heading into 2020? Chief Investment Officer Jim Lowell and Vice President Steve Johnson discussed the valuable role bonds play for diversified investors in our recent quarterly webinar*: 2020 Conflicts—Impeachment, Tariffs & Global Dysfunction.
Please enjoy the excerpt below and click here for the full webinar replay to hear more.
Steve Johnson: Mark Twain once said, “The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated.” And I think the same can be said about bonds in a portfolio. Ever since the great financial crisis, we’ve seen pundits, as [Chairman] Dan [Wiener] mentioned in this webinar, who have warned about higher interest rates and the risk of bonds in one’s portfolio, but the fact remains that bonds remain an essential part of someone’s portfolio who’s looking for income, but also who is looking for a lower risk profile in the portfolio.
Steve Johnson: As we talked about a bad year in the stock market—as [Director of Research] Jeff [DeMaso] showed, you can be down 20%, 30%, 40%—we know that’s just not the case in the bond market. But as Dan said, with the 10-year Treasury today down around 1.72%, 1.74%, the expectations for bonds going forward aren’t as great as they’ve been. And what we would encourage investors is really to resist the urge to go out and chase that yield. So as we mentioned, we did trim some of our high-yield positions late last year. We think that’s a prudent place in the portfolios to take a look at… to make sure that you’re not taking on too much risk, because you want that bond piece in the portfolio to be the one that’s going to be the stabilizer should we see some more volatility in the upcoming months.
Jim Lowell: I think that’s a really important point, Steve. And I would go so far to say, we talk about role of bonds all the time, which makes bonds sound like they’re a monolithic entity, but they are a completely diversified asset class. And so the portfolios that we construct are diversified across duration, that’s interest-rate risk and diversified across credit-related risk [yield-related risk]. So in effect, the disciplined approach that we take to the equity side, I certainly don’t want our clients to think that we’re not taking a very similar discipline, a diversified approach to the bond side.
*Webinar recorded after the market closed on January 23, 2020.
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